Friendly Contest: Guess the 2020 Project Total

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TriciaG
LibriVox Admin Team
Posts: 48217
Joined: June 15th, 2008, 10:30 pm
Location: Toronto, ON (but Minnesotan to age 32)

Post by TriciaG » October 24th, 2020, 4:58 pm

This is a contest with no prizes, except perhaps 15 seconds of fame. :lol:

Within the last 24 hours, we surpassed our previous record for number of cataloged projects in a year! The previous record was 1083 projects, set in 2013.

As of this posting, we're at 1087... and it's only October 24! (Well, where I am in the world, it is.)

So, here's where the contest comes in: guess the number of cataloged projects for 2020!

In the spirit of fairness, here is some data:

Month Project Count
10-2020 119
09-2020 110
08-2020 145
07-2020 120
06-2020 113
05-2020 105
04-2020 124
03-2020 93
02-2020 91
01-2020 88
(It is a record to have so many consecutive months with 100 or more projects cataloged.)

Year Project Count
2020 1087
2019 1054
2018 1037
2017 1033
2016 1047
2015 1033
2014 966
2013 1083

So, what do you think? We'll see whose guess is the closest on January 1!

List of Entries:
1450 - SonOfTheExiles
1400 - Icequeen
1372 - ToddHW
1361 - m8b1
1356 - Twinkle88
1350 - Kitty
1348 - commonsparrow3
1342 - Availle
1339 - silverquill
1337 - RSlabaugh
1333 - Kazbek
1329 - DACSoft
1327 - MaryAnnSpiegel
1324 - Sciguyvoice / Knotyouraveragejo
1322 - Piotrek81
1317 - annise
1311 - TriciaG
1306 - Rapunzelina
1301 - schrm
1300 - mightyfelix
1295 - KevinS / Jennlea
1287 - Linny
1274 - JayKitty76
1250 - JamesJenkins
1215 - Spatel2

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Elizabethan Poetry: The Psalmes of David
Boring works 30-70 minutes long: Insomnia Collection 5
Short essays: Elia, and The Last Essays of Elia
Bulwer-Lytton novel: The Caxtons

ToddHW
LibriVox Admin Team
Posts: 12309
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Post by ToddHW » October 24th, 2020, 5:12 pm

My very carefully computed guess is 1372.

Thanks, Todd

annise
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Posts: 33723
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Location: Melbourne,Australia

Post by annise » October 24th, 2020, 5:20 pm

Is there a closing date for entries :D . ?

TriciaG
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Joined: June 15th, 2008, 10:30 pm
Location: Toronto, ON (but Minnesotan to age 32)

Post by TriciaG » October 24th, 2020, 5:35 pm

Hmm - good point! :lol:

Let's make it October 31st at 11:59 pm, UTC. That's:

HONOLULU, United States, Hawaii
1:59p Sat, Oct 31 2020

LOS ANGELES, United States, California
4:59p Sat, Oct 31 2020

CHICAGO, United States, Illinois
6:59p Sat, Oct 31 2020

NEW YORK, United States, New York
7:59p Sat, Oct 31 2020

LONDON, United Kingdom, England
11:59p Sat, Oct 31 2020

BERLIN, Germany
12:59a Sun, Nov 1 2020

MOSCOW, Russia
2:59a Sun, Nov 1 2020

PERTH, Australia
7:59a Sun, Nov 1 2020

MELBOURNE, Australia
10:59a Sun, Nov 1 2020

8-)
Elizabethan Poetry: The Psalmes of David
Boring works 30-70 minutes long: Insomnia Collection 5
Short essays: Elia, and The Last Essays of Elia
Bulwer-Lytton novel: The Caxtons

m8b1
LibriVox Admin Team
Posts: 12247
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Location: The Bluegrass State
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Post by m8b1 » October 24th, 2020, 5:38 pm

1361

(I reserve the right to change my mind before October 31. :mrgreen: )

TriciaG
LibriVox Admin Team
Posts: 48217
Joined: June 15th, 2008, 10:30 pm
Location: Toronto, ON (but Minnesotan to age 32)

Post by TriciaG » October 24th, 2020, 5:40 pm

I'm going to be less optimistic and choose 1311.
Elizabethan Poetry: The Psalmes of David
Boring works 30-70 minutes long: Insomnia Collection 5
Short essays: Elia, and The Last Essays of Elia
Bulwer-Lytton novel: The Caxtons

MaryAnnSpiegel
LibriVox Admin Team
Posts: 16171
Joined: February 23rd, 2009, 4:37 pm
Location: Chicago, IL

Post by MaryAnnSpiegel » October 24th, 2020, 6:23 pm

1327.

Are overshots disqualified? Or is it just a question of who is closest (over / under)?

MaryAnn

KevinS
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Post by KevinS » October 24th, 2020, 6:58 pm

KevinS wrote:
October 24th, 2020, 8:36 am
1295.
Sunday is a good PL day for me.

annise
LibriVox Admin Team
Posts: 33723
Joined: April 3rd, 2008, 3:55 am
Location: Melbourne,Australia

Post by annise » October 24th, 2020, 6:59 pm

As I can't post at 1 AM on Jan1st Melbourne time I'll pick 1317 :D
Anne

Piotrek81
Posts: 3868
Joined: November 3rd, 2011, 2:02 pm
Location: Poznań, Poland

Post by Piotrek81 » October 25th, 2020, 5:54 am

No guess on my part, I just wanted to ask what is up with the small print? :mrgreen: Is it to make the contest look more official, or are you legally bound to write this?
EDIT: OK, I read some of it, I get it now :mrgreen:
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TriciaG
LibriVox Admin Team
Posts: 48217
Joined: June 15th, 2008, 10:30 pm
Location: Toronto, ON (but Minnesotan to age 32)

Post by TriciaG » October 25th, 2020, 5:57 am

Are overshots disqualified? Or is it just a question of who is closest (over / under)?
Closest. The absolute value of the difference is the least. 8-)
Elizabethan Poetry: The Psalmes of David
Boring works 30-70 minutes long: Insomnia Collection 5
Short essays: Elia, and The Last Essays of Elia
Bulwer-Lytton novel: The Caxtons

TriciaG
LibriVox Admin Team
Posts: 48217
Joined: June 15th, 2008, 10:30 pm
Location: Toronto, ON (but Minnesotan to age 32)

Post by TriciaG » October 25th, 2020, 5:58 am

Piotrek81 wrote:
October 25th, 2020, 5:54 am
No guess on my part, I just wanted to ask what is up with the small print? :mrgreen: Is it to make the contest look more official, or are you legally bound to write this?
EDIT: OK, I read some of it, I get it now :mrgreen:
What?? I thought NO ONE reads the fine print! :lol:
Elizabethan Poetry: The Psalmes of David
Boring works 30-70 minutes long: Insomnia Collection 5
Short essays: Elia, and The Last Essays of Elia
Bulwer-Lytton novel: The Caxtons

mightyfelix
LibriVox Admin Team
Posts: 6737
Joined: August 7th, 2016, 6:39 pm

Post by mightyfelix » October 25th, 2020, 7:30 am

When it's fine print on LibriVox, I always read it, because it's so rarely seen!

I'll go for a nice even 1300.

schrm
Posts: 3009
Joined: February 10th, 2018, 11:02 am
Location: Austria

Post by schrm » October 26th, 2020, 12:44 am

the 1300 would have been myguess..
so i say 1301

/reader/12275

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viewtopic.php?f=22&t=82791


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ToddHW
LibriVox Admin Team
Posts: 12309
Joined: August 14th, 2011, 4:24 am
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Post by ToddHW » October 26th, 2020, 4:45 am

So here, with only 6 days left to get your guesses in (26 Oct), is the bidding thus far.

1372 - ToddHW
1361 - m8b1
1339 - silverquill
1333 - Kazbek
1327 - MaryAnnSpiegel
1311 - TriciaG
1301 - schrm
1300 - mightyfelix
1295 - KevinS
1250 - JamesJenkins
1217 - annise
1215 - Spatel2

EDIT: list moved to first post above.

Thanks, Todd

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